DRG

Fridays Estimates


1 CARS 3,985 $19,300,000
-- / $4,843
$19,300,000 / 1

2 THE BREAK-UP 3,073 $6,745,000
114.3% / $2,195
$60,345,000 / 8

3 THE OMEN (2006) 2,723 $5,415,000
77% / $1,989
$25,690,000 / 4

4 X-MEN: THE LAST STAND 3,680 $4,805,000
101.3% / $1,306
$190,971,000 / 15

5 THE DA VINCI CODE 3,319 $3,055,000
91.6% / $920
$181,783,000 / 22

6 OVER THE HEDGE 3,527 $2,950,000
45.5% / $836
$122,942,000 / 22

7 A PRAIRIE HOME COMPANION 760 $1,340,000
-- / $1,763
$1,340,000 / 1

8 MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE III 1,908 $875,000
99.8% / $459
$125,342,000 / 36

9 RV 1,622 $540,000
56% / $333
$63,551,000 / 43

10 POSEIDON 1,724 $535,000
69.7% / $310
$53,630,000 / 29

11 AN INCONVENIENT TRUTH 122 $445,000
227.2% / $3,648
$2,923,000 / 17

12 SEE NO EVIL 900 $250,000
96.7% / $278
$13,371,000 / 22

TomOpus

I expected a bigger Friday for Cars. At least Saturday should be big.

I think word of mouth will give it legs since many seemed to have initial reservations due to the trailer and subject matter.

DRG

Just to compare opening day numbers:

Pixar
The Incredibles - $20,503,078 (Weekend Total: $70,467,623)
Finding Nemo - $20,208,056 (Weekend Total: $70,251,710)
Monsters, Inc. - $17,390,000 (Weekend Total: $62,577,067)

Other Recent Films
Ice Age: The Meltdown - $21,788,862 (Weekend Total: $68,033,544)
Over the Hedge - $10,769,117 (Weekend Total: $38,457,003)

Just a touch behind the last two Pixar releases. Will it follow a mutliplier similar to those, or is Ice Age 2's multiplier more inline with current box office trends? I'll guess $67 million for the weekend.

gotrice487

I'm also a bit surprised at the Friday total for Cars but I'm sure the weekend will give it some legs and we'll see a good $70+ million total

clemente

Be sure to take into effect that a lot of tickets sold for Cars are kids priced tickets which cost a few dollars less. I think that alone is the major limiting factor of a Pixar film breaking any records.

Seantn

I doubt that matters.

Maryang Palad

I don't get your logic about kids priced ticket. All Pixar's films are rated for General Audience.

reubs82

I think I get Clemente's logic. If there is an equal number of persons going to see X3 and Cars, the smart money would be on Cars having a smaller take because the children's tickets would be cheaper.

I'm not sure how this plays out in the long run, but I'm sure Pixar makes up for it w/ licensing b/c I'm sure not too many adults are running around w/ X3 bedsheets like kids will have a "Cars" backpack.

Hollywood should starting stating "tickets sold" b/c that would be a MUCH better indicator over time. (I know others have said that before, but I'm now on the side of absolute numbers instead of ticket sales.)

William Fuld

Not only lower priced tickets for kids, but the audience for Cars is more likely to go during matinee hours, as well.

marty888

Uh, don't you mean wheels ?

Drexl

The lower-priced tickets are probably offset by the kids being accompanied by adults. Granted, a sold-out showing with all adults will take in more money than a sold-out show with some kids, but in the long run, the adults that go to the movie just to accompany their kids will make up for the lower kid-priced tickets.

DRG

Shrek 2 made $108,037,878 its first weekend. So it's possible for a movie like this to do really huge numbers. Or perhaps Shrek's overall audience age skews more adult on average than an average Pixar film, I don't know.

TomOpus

Deftones

Yeah, that X-Men movie won't get anywhere near $200 million.

raven56706

x-men 3 is already a success......

Jackskeleton

I doubt CARS will suffer much. It's a friday that really only factors in half of the day. Saturday's take in will be much bigger and it'll have some very nice legs as summer is kicking in gear.

Joe Molotov

According to BOM, it cost $210 Million.

Dr_Evil

X-Men 3's worldwide gross is currently at around $331 million

Jackskeleton

It'll turn a profit. no doubt about that. Even if the advertisement budget was large. Through international and home video, it's a huge profit for fox. I'm just one that thinks it wasn't all that great quality wise. on a business standpoint on the other hand...

GatorDeb

Wow MI3 didn't do well at all, in comparison.

jaeufraser

Yeah I don't think anybody can argue with the financial performance. It'll make good money for Fox. There have been bigger movies, but X3 is still successful.

TomOpus

It's done $318 million worldwide. Not too shabby

slabinskia

Here are the weekend estimates from boxofficemojo.com

1 CARS

3,985 $19,300,000

-- / $4,843
$19,300,000 / 1 $23,079,000

19.6% / $5,791
$42,379,000 / 2 $20,400,000

-11.6% / $5,119
$62,800,000 / 3
N/A
2 THE BREAK-UP

3,073 $6,704,000

113% / $2,182
$60,304,000 / 8 $8,087,000

20.6% / $2,632
$68,391,000 / 9 $5,704,000

-29.5% / $1,856
$74,095,000 / 10
N/A
3 X-MEN: THE LAST STAND

3,680 $4,800,000

101.1% / $1,304
$190,966,000 / 15 $6,450,000

34.4% / $1,753
$197,416,000 / 16 $4,300,000

-33.3% / $1,168
$201,716,000 / 17
N/A
4 THE OMEN (2006)

2,723 $5,525,000

80.6% / $2,029
$25,800,000 / 4 $5,950,000

7.7% / $2,185
$31,750,000 / 5 $3,975,000

-33.2% / $1,460
$35,725,000 / 6
N/A
5 OVER THE HEDGE

3,527 $2,895,000

42.8% / $821
$122,887,000 / 22 $4,227,000

46% / $1,198
$127,114,000 / 23 $3,179,000

-24.8% / $901
$130,293,000 / 24
N/A
6 THE DA VINCI CODE

3,319 $2,900,000

81.9% / $874
$181,628,000 / 22 $4,500,000

55.2% / $1,356
$186,128,000 / 23 $2,900,000

-35.6% / $874
$189,028,000 / 24
N/A
7 A PRAIRIE HOME COMPANION

760 $1,374,000

-- / $1,808
$1,374,000 / 1 $1,863,000

35.6% / $2,451
$3,237,000 / 2 $1,434,000

-23% / $1,887
$4,671,000 / 3
N/A
8 MISSION: IMPOSSIBLE III

1,908 $893,000

103.9% / $468
$125,360,000 / 36 $1,300,000

45.6% / $681
$126,660,000 / 37 $846,000

-34.9% / $443
$127,509,000 / 38
N/A
9 RV

1,622 $565,000

63.2% / $348
$63,576,000 / 43 $850,000

50.4% / $524
$64,426,000 / 44 $585,000

-31.2% / $361
$65,011,000 / 45
N/A
10 POSEIDON

1,724 $550,000

74.4% / $319
$53,645,000 / 29 $765,000

39.1% / $444
$54,410,000 / 30 $525,000

-31.4% / $305
$54,935,000 / 31
N/A
11 AN INCONVENIENT TRUTH

122 $446,000

228% / $3,656
$2,924,000 / 17 $623,000

39.7% / $5,107
$3,547,000 / 18 $405,000

-35% / $3,320
$3,952,000 / 19
N/A
12 SEE NO EVIL

900 $255,000

100.7% / $283
$13,376,000 / 22 $330,000

29.4% / $367
$13,706,000 / 23 $245,000

-25.8% / $272
$13,951,000 / 24
N/A

rexinnih

Not bad for Cars.

Mr. Cinema

Good opening for Cars, but it didn't quite have a strong Saturday boost compared to some of the other Pixar films.

The most impressive thing I see about this weekend is Da Vinci Code's worldwide total now stands at $597 million and should pass over $600 mil once the overseas totals come in.